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Can't believe I kept any of my money...

Discussion in 'Poker Stories and Bad Beats' started by shawnb1824, Jun 14, 2005.

  1. shawnb1824

    shawnb1824 Member

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    Played last night with some friends. Playing six handed my buddy in consecutive hands gets: QQ, KK, KK, 88, QQ, AA. Luckily I didn't get anything to stay in with or I might have lost a bundle. Anyone else see anything like this? :-o
     
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  2. ky70

    ky70 Well-Known Member

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    Watch the dealer very closely next time...sounds like a mechanic :razz:
     
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  3. shawnb1824

    shawnb1824 Member

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    No, nothing like that. We're all good friends and nobody is close to being a mechanic. Also, we usually rotate the deal. Just a crazy run of cards. :happy:
     
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  4. R Deckard

    R Deckard Well-Known Member

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    Or just some lousy shuffling going on. If this is the case, see this thread for some help: http://www.chiptalk.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1713

    The probablility of getting a pocket pair QQ or higher three consecutive times is on the order of 2.5x10^-6, or 1 in 400,000.

    Probability of getting PP QQ or higher: 0.01357
    Three in a row: 0.01357^3 = 0.00000250
     
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  5. dad604

    dad604 Well-Known Member

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    A month ago, my buddy Had str8 flush to the Q and I had the bottom end of the str8 flush. I knew him so well that I folded on the turn. Save me a bundle.
     
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  6. Mr Meaner

    Mr Meaner Well-Known Member

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    Last Sat tourney, I had pocket pair the first 5 hands, Pocket aces,(doubled up) went up against pocket queens, and another person said he folded pocket 9's. Then had pocket 3', 9', 6's and then 10's.
     
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  7. R Deckard

    R Deckard Well-Known Member

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    Probability of getting any pocket pair: 0.05882
    Five times in a row: 0.05882^5 = 0.00000070, or 1 in 1,419,857. Still way better than the lottery, though.

    Those kinds of odds approach what most people would call miraculous. But as poker players, we know that if it can happen, either we, or somebody else, has seen it already. Kind of changes your perspective on life, IMHO.
     
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  8. Daniel

    Daniel Well-Known Member

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    last nite my friend pulled a sklansky....

    pocket aces 3 times with a pocket 8's inbetween the first and 2nd pocket aces....

    we were at a tourny in HP and sho'nuff...he goes from $2500 in chips to almost 30k in a matter of 5 hands....

    tlak about riding a rush....
    they did say there was a tsunami watch in the cali borders...LOL


    free,
    d
     
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  9. R Deckard

    R Deckard Well-Known Member

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    Wow, now the probabilities are getting really small:

    Probability of getting AA (or any particular PP): 0.004525
    Probability of getting a non-AA PP: 0.05430

    Probability of getting precisely the sequence AA, non-AA PP, AA, AA:
    (0.004525)³ × (0.05430) = 5.031E-9, or 1 in 199 million!
     
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  10. Fins

    Fins Well-Known Member

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    Hit any sets?

    My abnormal series of recent was on UB...

    63o, 62o, 62o (same suits), 62o, 62o

    UB hates me for some reason :twisted:
     
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  11. Daniel

    Daniel Well-Known Member

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    damn deckard...
    1 in 199 million?
    are you serious....those are some outrageous odds....

    yea, he ran over to me last nite (he was at table 3 i was on table 10) and he tells me, "i just came up big time, and had callers all 4 times....you dont even know, COME LOOK AT MY STACK"....

    i ignored him coz i had just got beaten out of a pot of about 17,000 and i was now only sitting on 13,000 chips with only 12 more people to get knocked out before the money :sad:


    but looking at those odds, its amazing how "lucky" he got during his rush.....
    sometimes, they just come......

    oh yea deckard, as for your signature....
    i have a solution.....

    A DJ! :)
     
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  12. JM

    JM Well-Known Member
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    Anyone see the WPT tonite? I'd like to know the odds of all those pocket pairs, and the one guy who kept getting 33.
     
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  13. whitepotatoe

    whitepotatoe Well-Known Member

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    There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics. :happy:
     
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  14. smoore

    smoore Creativity Alliance

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    damn daniel... I've heard of accidentally double posting but SIX? and then that was three days ago and I had to go clean it up. jeeez.

    "the hustla" must suck at the internet.
     
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