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Old 10-21-2007, 01:25 PM
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Nanook Nanook is offline
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Effect of the Rake

I am writing this post sort of to think out loud when there is no one to listen. Maybe some of you more experienced B&M players can comment on this.

Background:
I am relatively new to B&M poker (past 6 mo or so) and have tracked my time and P&L etc. I have been averaging about 2 sessions per week at the local B&M which for me happens to be Canterbury just south of the Twin Cities in MN. Before that I played on line quite a bit (about 100k hands over the past 2 yrs, but less and less lately) and of course at home games occasionally. I have and have read quite a few poker books such as the Harrington books and many of the Sklansky' books but when I started I sort of bounced around between tourney and NL cash and only more recently have been playing limit cash. I really wish I had started the other way around as I am now a firm believer that everyone that is actually serious about learning the game should learn limit first.

My B&M History:
I am a winning player, but not by a lot. It's a little harder to put a number on B&M stats than online with PT, but I do keep track of time. I have counted hands a few times and usually it comes up between 30-40 hands per hour so I will guess 33 just to make that go into 100 easier. Usually I play 3-6 and based 33 hands/hr I win at the rate of 2 BB/100 hands. Lets do the math: 3 hours to get 100 hands so 2 *$6 = $12/3 hrs = $4/hr. hmmm.... not so good. I think I would be better off working more and playing poker less.

The Scene:
I just finished re-reading SSHE by Sklansky again and am feeling pretty good about my small stakes limit game. Right now Canterbury in in the middle of this thing that they call the Fall Classic which is a 2 week, 17 event deal where they have all these tourneys , kind of like the wsop, but it is a bit smaller. Obviously, but it is kind of a big deal. Yesterday's event was a NL tourney with a $500 + $50 buy in and about 30 tables. Canterbury is actually a really big card room. They normally have 40 tables and they add more for this tourney. On Friday night when I showed up around 5:00pm or so there were around 50 people on the waiting list for each of all the smaller games 2/4, 3/6, 4/8 and only a few tables of each. They had 7 tables of 6/12 and 6 tables of 8/16 going with only a short waiting list. They even had 5 tables of 30/60 going! I knew this event was going on and it would be packed with fish and of course it did not disappoint.

This weekend:
The wife and kids went down to see her brother and their kids in Chicago. I got lucky and was able to stay at home. Of course I have a huge honey-do list and what do I do............. You guessed it, off to the card room both Friday night and again last night. Like I mentioned above the lower limit tables were packed with huge waiting lists so I opted to put my name on the 6/12 list and give that a try.

Friday night:
I was a bit unprepared to play at such a game as I only had $200 on me which is what I always go with for my usual 3/6 game. I will usually buy in for 1 rack of $1's and maybe 25% of the time I will have to buy in for another rack. More often than not I make a comeback, but If I go through the second rack I just leave as I know it just isn't my day. So here I am at a 6/12 table with my 1 rack of $2 chips and no back up. Better play tight right, I don't want to be gone in an hour when I have a whole night to play with no time limit at all. Of course what happens is that I am at a super loose agressive table where it is getting capped pf 1/2 of the time with 2 or 3 of the players clearly pushing the table. I am pretty sure I only played 4 hands making the nut flush once and making a Full House 2x and I didn't even win a pot. Bye, bye 9:30pm.

Saturday Night:
I am not about to go again without more cash this time so off to the bank I go yesterday afternoon and I go with $500 this time planning on leaving if I go down 2 racks. I would have gone earlier, but the tourney event started at noon and I figured lots of tables would have opened up by 5:00 or so. I head down there and the scene is about the same. It was a pretty nice day yesterday here so there weren't quite as many people there, but still it was crowded. Again I get on the 6/12 list and get seated pretty quickly. The table is about the same with a couple guys clearly pushing the action. It turns out that 3 of these guys are friends that are down here from Canada for the Event. Shortly after I get there 1 of these Canadians gets up and heads off to the 15/30 table with his 6 racks of $2's that he has extracted from the table. So now there are two of these Canadians at the table, one of which was pretty solid and the other was a total maniac on FIRE along with the usual assortment of loose passive fish. I got in a couple of hands and again was soon down to about $50 of my original $200. Arg, I buy in again for another rack of $2's and am somewhat bummed at the way this is going. Well, he cooled off and things turned around. I was there until about 2:30am, but walked up to the cashier with 4+ racks and walked out the door +$443 for the night. Not bad, eh?

Thinking about the rake:
I got to thinking about the rake and I since this is what the title was about, I guess I ought to get to the point. Canterbury rake at 3/6 is 10% with a max of $5 and the rake at 6/12 is 5% with a max of $5. I have always known the rake at the bigger games was less percentage wise, but had never really considered the effect until now. Does this seem reasonable? Maybe you are in 4 hands per hour that you get to the river and 1/2 of them you win. Obviously we are going to have to do some major estimating here, but in a 3/6 game that is $10/hr out of my pocket and at 3 hrs to play 100 hands that is $30 or 5 BB/100 hands. Holy smokes that is a lot! Using the same logic @ 6/12 and the same $10/hr or $30/100 hands becomes 2.5 BB/100. Now obviously I can improve my game, but it seems to me that the easiest way in the world to improve approximately 2.5BB/100 hands would be to just play in this higher limit game. I do realize that theoretically there are going to be better players in the higher limit games and it is going to be somewhat tougher. btw, it is absolutely crazy how a 25/50¢ limit game @ p* is waaaay tighter than the $6/12 game live. I have never played, but I have been told numerous times that the 8/16 game at Canterbury is even looser and more maniacs. I just don't get it............................

Do my rake assumptions seem about right?

Nanook
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Old 10-21-2007, 03:48 PM
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xtwalker xtwalker is offline
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Re: Effect of the Rake

Holy Rake! Also, don't forget tokes. $5 / hand in a 3/6 game is outrageous. It is also high for the 6/12 game, but a little better for you.

If you are tracking results and you have been a winner for a decent period of time (as you suggest in OP) than you certainly need to move up. I wouldn't expect too much difference in play between 3/6 and 6/12, but some will exist. Mostly in the value betting on the end, and the frequency that a bluff will be attempted/work. I would not expect the difference in play in those levels to affect a currently winning player by anywhere near 2.5BB/100.

I suggest you create a bank roll, continue tracking, maybe even a little tighter tracking, and move up as quickly as you can.

FWIW I started at 3/6 about 13 months ago and I built up to 6/12 and then 3/5NL, and am about to take a swing at 5/10NL (my wife's 'rake' has delayed the move up a few weeks.) Admittedly though, I put way more effort into developing my poker game than I put into my masters program.
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Old 10-21-2007, 04:20 PM
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Re: Effect of the Rake

$5 rake is a lot for a place that doesn't have any type of BBJP. I'd say once you have a bankroll that allows you to play 6/12, go for it and stick with it.

Roll of 300 big bets is the standard. $3600 for 6/12

If the place has a 3/6 and a 4/8, I'd play the 4/8.
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Old 10-21-2007, 06:04 PM
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Re: Effect of the Rake

10% with max of $5 is about average. When you also add toke for the dealer, it is hard to beat. if you are 2bb/100, you are doing fairly well.

The 6/12 game at 5% looks like a good game to get into. Most other B&M's charges the same 10%. with 5% rake, that game should be very beatable.

You are right regarding B&M vs online players. To me it seems the stake level is about 5 or 10 to 1 ratio.
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Old 10-21-2007, 06:36 PM
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Re: Effect of the Rake

Quote:
Originally Posted by xtwalker View Post
Holy Rake! Also, don't forget tokes. $5 / hand in a 3/6 game is outrageous.
It's not really $5/hand as many hands will not get to the $50 required for them to take the full $5. Still, I agree this cuts deep

Quote:
Originally Posted by xtwalker View Post
If you are tracking results and you have been a winner for a decent period of time (as you suggest in OP) than you certainly need to move up. I wouldn't expect too much difference in play between 3/6 and 6/12, but some will exist. Mostly in the value betting on the end, and the frequency that a bluff will be attempted/work. I would not expect the difference in play in those levels to affect a currently winning player by anywhere near 2.5BB/100.

I suggest you create a bank roll, continue tracking, maybe even a little tighter tracking, and move up as quickly as you can.
Thanks for the suggestions

Quote:
Originally Posted by xtwalker View Post
FWIW I started at 3/6 about 13 months ago and I built up to 6/12 and then 3/5NL, and am about to take a swing at 5/10NL (my wife's 'rake' has delayed the move up a few weeks.) Admittedly though, I put way more effort into developing my poker game than I put into my masters program.
No NL here. The state, in it's infinite wisdom, has a rule that the biggest bet in the state is $60. Therefore NL is not going to happen here. Other places spread it but they never have that game at Canterbury. I think the 6/12 and maybe the 8/16 games are pretty much what I am going to have to stick to.


Nanook
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Old 10-21-2007, 07:55 PM
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Re: Effect of the Rake

First, congrats on Saturday's session. Very nice

Secondly, thanks for the post. I can say I learned something.

But continuing on your thought process, 30 hands per hour x $5 rake + 30 x $1 toke = $180 and if the average buyin = $200 then the table is losing about 10% of its chips to the casino an hour. I don't think it should bother me but it really sucks.
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Old 10-22-2007, 08:52 AM
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Re: Effect of the Rake

Quote:
Originally Posted by gpc View Post
First, congrats on Saturday's session. Very nice
Thanks

Quote:
Originally Posted by gpc View Post
.................. the table is losing about 10% of its chips to the casino an hour. I don't think it should bother me but it really sucks.

You know, this is sort of along the lines I was thinking too. Actually what made me start to think about this was another post where someone said that they thought the house, in a home game, was screwing people as at the end of the night everyone was down and the house had taken in $500 or $600.

It is one thing at a home game and entirely another at a B&M Card Room. Clearly at the card room they are there to make money and the rake is necessary. I wish I was better at statistics and could figure out how this compared to other Casino games. I suspect it is not that much different in that the Casino extracts somewhere around 10% of the tables money per hour. The difference in Poker is that I have better control over who they are going to extract it from.

On another topic, I think I am about done completely with online poker. As long as I have a card room as close as I do, I just don't see playing online much any more. The live game is so much better it's crazy.

Nanook
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