66 vs 44 odds

[joeyshin]

I got knocked out of a tournament today with this:

Hero: 66
Villian: 44

Flop: 446

I was wondering what the odds were for this scenario.

[JM]

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[joeyshin]

I tried these and they just give you your odds of winning the hand, not the odds of that board flopping. maybe I'm doing it wrong

Originally Posted by JM

Poker Odds Calculator - Calculate Odds for Texas Holdem | PokerNews

[JM]

Odds of flopping quads is about 407:1 while the odds of flopping a boat is 136:1

Texas Hold'em Poker Odds & Probabilities

[mtl mile end]

Originally Posted by JM

Odds of flopping quads is about 407:1 while the odds of flopping a boat is 136:1

Texas Hold'em Poker Odds & Probabilities

Arithmetically, that may make it 55352 to 1 (from 407 X 136). But that's probably wrong. There's probably a Factorial(!) involved.

[Schmendr1ck]

All I know is that I go broke in Hero's situation 100% of the time.

[Arch99]

Any flop with a 44 is 407 to 1, as stated earlier...

Since there are 46 cards left in the deck, and two of them are sixes, the odds of a 446 flop are (407x23):1 = 9361:1.

Odds of going broke with overfull against quads 1:1.

[albie]

I think the odds of flopping a full house and the other guy having quads (given that you see the flop HU & both have a pp) are : 2 (which 6 flops) x 6 (order of flop cards)/ (48x47x46) = 1/8648.

[albie]

Odd of going broke are ≈ 22:1 (you can bink a 6 on turn or river)

[Josh]

odds = not good