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  #71 (permalink)     Top 
Old 06-09-2008, 11:19 PM
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littlebu littlebu is offline
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Re: p* wsop steps: follow my path to 10 million

Quote:
Originally Posted by imthatguy View Post
$1500 Event. I'd much rather play one of those and put some of the cash towards some chips and my mortgage.
+1 and QFT since +1 wasn't long enough
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  #72 (permalink)     Top 
Old 06-09-2008, 11:53 PM
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Re: p* wsop steps: follow my path to 10 million

i'd keep the money if i get through the steps. it's a lotta money, yo, and building a bankroll is tough.

so what i'd look for on sharkscope:
# of tournaments played. under 500 he's probably pretty new to sngs. obv the more he plays the more experienced he is. this doesn't mean he's good but it leads to...
roi: if there's a big sample this is your best indicator of how good he is. most importantly is if he has a negative number (donkey) or a positive number over a large sample.
average stakes: for whatever that's worth. mostly it's interesting to me to see the range of guys playing the steps

so...based on that stuff, the better the guy is the more you should believe him early (b/c standard sng strategy is to play VERY tight until 50/100 or so), and you should believe him less later (b/c he should be shoving with a fairly wide range later).

the problem is that with really good bubble strategy it won't matter that you know he has nothing quite a bit, b/c good bubble strategy is fairly hard to exploit.

but for bad players, you can confirm more quickly for yourself that he's playing too many hands (or folding too many later). for instance if a guy with a big losing number seems to be playing way too tight at the bigger levels, i'd go ahead and pound on his blind, assuming that he's EV- b/c he's playing too tight. or if you think he's pushing every button, and see that he's a big loser, then you can confirm much quicker that he's shoving way too much and more happily call him down with AJ (or whatever).
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Old 06-11-2008, 02:22 PM
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Re: p* wsop steps: follow my path to 10 million

Woot! Back to Step Four (after five Step Three's third or fourth place finishes in a row). It'll be nice to not play a turbo for once!
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Old 06-14-2008, 12:34 PM
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Re: p* wsop steps: follow my path to 10 million

So I made it to step 6 and played in it a few days ago. Very 1st hand SB an BB go all in with KK vs AA. K on the flop and we have 1 player out already. Great!. 2 more players are eliminated and now I am in the money. We play for a while and then I'm BB with KK. I am praying for a raise. All fold to the SB who thinks forever and raises to 400 ( blinds were 50/100 if I remember correctly). BTW we both had about 3k in chips and he was slightly ahead of me. I reraise to 1500 and once again he thinks for a long time and goes all in. I call. He has A8 off.
Flop is 8 8 3 and off to losers lounge I go. I can't believe I was mad to win 500 bux.
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Old 06-14-2008, 09:50 PM
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Re: p* wsop steps: follow my path to 10 million

I am out!!!! Busted 7th in step three after a 4th, 5th, and 3rd place finish. Just could never seal the deal. Well there is always next year. I like this formant. I hope they do it next year.
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