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Old 10-22-2005, 07:35 PM
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seymour seymour is offline
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93% to win means you're gonna lose ;)

But that's what happens at times. I can live with that, as annoying as it is.

Just playing 0.05/0.10 limit on PS, with not a lot left, 0.50-ish maybe (bad plays, bad beats, bad night). Dealt 99, looks good. Flop of 445. Looks better. Turn was another 5. He had A8. You can guess what the river was...

PokerStars 0.05/0.10 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9s, 9d.
2 folds, UTG+2 raises, 1 fold, MP2 calls, MP3 3-bets, 1 fold, Hero caps, 2 folds, UTG+2 calls, MP2 folds, MP3 folds.

Flop: (14.40 SB) 4s, 4d, 5s (2 players)
UTG+2 bets, Hero raises, UTG+2 calls.

Turn: (9.20 BB) 5h (2 players)
UTG+2 bets, Hero raises, UTG+2 calls.

River: (12.80 BB) As (2 players)

Final Pot: 12.80 BB

Results below:
UTG+2 has 8h Ad (two pair, aces and fives).
Hero has 9s 9d (two pair, nines and fives).
Outcome: UTG+2 wins 12.80 BB.
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Last edited by seymour : 10-22-2005 at 07:48 PM. Reason: Fixed formatting - where is our Chiptalk hand converter? :(
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  #2 (permalink)     Top 
Old 10-22-2005, 07:48 PM
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Re: 93% to win means you're gonna lose ;)

I don't know why but those kinds of things seem to happen when you are short. When you have lots and your stack is big, those 93% seems to hold up all the time.
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Old 10-22-2005, 07:55 PM
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Re: 93% to win means you're gonna lose ;)

It seems that way. Or at least that's when you remember it more, if you have a big stack it isn't quite as memorable. The whole night was full of hands like that, I wasn't terribly surprised at the outcome. Oh well, I dropped by another site after that hand and made back all of what I lost at that table (not that it was a lot).
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Old 10-22-2005, 08:00 PM
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Re: 93% to win means you're gonna lose ;)

He did have two overcards, but I think he definitely overplayed them, like everything else he was overplaying tonight. I just have to remind myself that in the long run, that's the sort of person I want to be calling my better hands
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