Quote:
Originally Posted by amstelnut Weekly cash game at my house Saturday night. .25/.50 with everyone starting in the $40 range. 9 players. Player 1 raises to $2.50 couple of folds and next player goes to $10. Player 3 directly to left of player 2 smooth calls $10. Player 1 goes all-in for $14 more. Player 2 calls all-in and player 3 moves all-in for $70 more. Player 2 goes in the tank for 5 min and eventually calls with AK suited. Player 3 shows AA and player 1 shows QJ off suit. Player 1 is a very loose player, but both other players are solid. Question. How is the call with AK a good play as player 2 claims? He says he put player 3 on JJ or 10's and was willing to gamble. My only problem is ealier in the night he laid down against a $45 all-in after the flop with an open ended staright draw and second nut flush draw. To me he had better odds with the post flop all-in than the second pre-flop call for more money. Sorry for the long post, but just trying to get some feedback from someone outside my regular group. |
Which call confuses you? Player 2 raised to $10, as he should have (imo). He was getting pretty sweet odds of 3.14:1 ($14 into $44) when Player 1 pushed. Then he was getting 2.
03:1 ($70 into a $
142 pot, assuming he had Player 3 covered) when Player 3 pushed.
If he's up against a pair < KK, then he's nearly 50:50, so he only needs a little better than 1:1 odds against a single opponent. Most of the money is in the side pot. I don't want to bother breaking it down, but you could with PokerStove or whatever, and I'm guessing you'd find he needs ~ 1.8:1 or something to make this call if both have a pair < KK. If one opponent has an A or K, while the other has a pair, then it gets a little worse. And if an opponent has AA or KK (as one actually did), then he's pretty much screwed, but he could argue that's unlikely given he has AK - my famous last words (happened to me 4 times last night).
As for the straight/flush hand, there isn't enough information (namely size of the pot when it was raised to $45... and what was on the board); e.g., if the board just paired on the turn, and there was only $10 in the pot when a tight player pushed, then it's a pretty easy fold, imo.