[PhilTheThrill14]

Originally Posted by jdunford

I'm not willing to get in a lengthy discussion here, but think of it in terms of expectation value. By over-betting all-in, you get called when you're beat, and you take down the pot when you're ahead. If you bet, say, just over half the pot (1500), then you take down the pot when your opponent has nothing, but you might get a call if he has TPTK or some weaker pair (so you can get more profit out of the hand), and if you're raised, you're probably beat (either by a bigger pair or a set or two-pair).

Sure, if you bet, and your opponent calls you down with his set, you'll lose your stack anyway. But it doesn't have to be a "win a small pot or go broke" situation. Also consider if your opponent just calls a "continuation-sized" bet and an A comes on the turn. You check, he bets (hoping you have an A), and you fold. In that situation, at least you live to fight another day.

I don't know - betting 40% (T1500) of our remaining stack is going to lead to some strange situations if he calls.

You've now put in over half your stack........