[TheMightyJim2k]

3 things:

1) your estimation of their play should have nothing to do with whether or not they are winning or losing. unless you have a sample of 10k plus hands on them you likely don't have a very solid idea on their winrate. It really shouldn't even factor into your decision. Use their other stats to determine the hand ranges and how you expect them to play the hand.

2) please please please reraise preflop. Sure you would have run into AA this time, but his range is much worse, you have a chance to get your SPR where you want it, and you have the best hand a huge portion of the time.

3) flop fold is fine. That is a fairly dangerous flop for you, and it isn't that crazy to think that you are beat and maybe drawing thin. That being said if you had put some more money in before folding I don't think it would have been a mistake, but I think the fold is ok.

(also I know you already know this kyle, but don't include results so that it doesn't taint our opinions).