Quote:
Originally Posted by jomamma87 I sat down to AK suited in the cutoff. With 1 player having already limped into the pot from early position, I make a raise to 4,000. The button, small blind and big blind all fold over to the limper (who has about 80,000 and is a pretty solid player) who immediately re-raises to 13,000. I nearly choke on my sandwich, then quickly decide to muck my AK, turning it over and showing it to him. That raise to me just wreaked 10s or better. Being a nice guy, he turned over JJ saying good fold.
The question in all of this is should I have folded here? One option is to call the raise, but then again I would be calling off 1/3 of my stack. The other is to re-raise all in, but I would've hated to put my tournament life up in the air on a possible coin flip so early...but what do you guys think? |
Presuming neither of his Jacks are the same suit as your AK, you're just a slight dog here (46% to win).
After his raise there's 18,000 in the pot and you need 9,000 to call - so obviously you're getting 2-to-1 odds. But you're only a 1.2-to-1 underdog, so actually you should either call or push. Calling leaves you with 24,000 which is still 24x the BB (M=16) and certainly playable.
If you push the limper is getting about 2½-to-1 odds to call. Which means he has to put you on AA, KK, or QQ to fold - anything else and he insta-calls.
With position, I'm calling and seeing a flop.