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Thread: River Bet?
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Old 05-08-2007, 09:03 AM
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FL70 FL70 is offline
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Re: River Bet?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Irish Se7en View Post
Here's my question, after the river card, should I have checked, raised less, or played it how I did. Was he chasing a flush or a straight? A lot of questions but I was hoping to get a little more on the river. Did I just play it bad and I probably should be happy with what I won?
I'd say he clearly has one of 3 hands:
1) Pocket pair - likely 99, but maybe JJ - meaning the flop brings either two over cards or one, turning him in to a calling station
2) Flush draw - Ax
3) Straight draw - AQ or AJ

So, in these 3 scenarios, the only one in which you did not play the flop incorrectly is the pocket pair.

On the flop there's $5.60 in the pot and you bet 50¢ giving him over 12-to-1 odds. Way too small of a bet. You want to give him improper odds to call you with both a straight & flush draw on the board. That means a bet of at least $2.50-$3.

If he catches the straight or flush card on the turn, are you really going to lay down your set of Kings? Unlikely, you call some big bet and pray the board pairs. Luckily the Turn bring you Kings over Tens and you don't have to worry about it.

As for the river, yes you have to bet since it's practically guaranteed hell check if you don't. If he had quad Tens he would've raised on the Turn and you would put him on trip Tens and re-raise and then he'd have you. So no raise ont he Turn means you know he was chasing and missed.

You only have 2 bets on the River - a value bet which would have to be so small that he'd call just to see your cards or a larger bet to appear to be buying the pot. Although that would be pretty tough since you raised pre-flop and bet out on every street. What junk could you have that would meet that criterion? AQ is about it...maybe AJh. No I think if you were going to get any money on the River maybe another $1 would be about it.
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