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Originally Posted by steve5k Just 2 more questions. What do you think an 'ideal' tM should look like for a tourney like this (if it matters, 14 players); and what is the formula for calculating a tM for any given level? |
i don't personally use tM in my calculations; i think JMC mentioned it in his blinds structure article, check it out.
for a tourney w/o antes i usually estimate that the tournament will end when the bb is 4% of the total chips in play +/- 1 level (that's why i included the percentages in my suggestion)
so for 14 player x 20,000 = 280,000 chips in play
4% x 280,000 = 11,200, rounding it to the closest bb that you have, 12,000
for 8 players = 160,000 chips in play
4% x 160,000 = 6400 or between 5000 & 8000 from your 8 player structure
20 players = 400,000 chips
4% = 16,000
my calculations differ for structures with antes; i calculate the average M value, assuming heads up play at each level. that is, i assume that there are only 2 players left in the tournament with equal chipstacks. i calculate each player's M at each level of the structure.
i'm taking an informal survey at homepokertourney and i have a gut feeling that tourneys are ending when the average heads up M dips below 20; lower if very tight players are remaining