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  #10 (permalink)     Top 
Old 12-19-2006, 02:05 PM
4ceps's Avatar
4ceps 4ceps is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Toronto, ON, Canada
Posts: 315
Chips: 6,499
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Re: Need help with the 'M' factor for blinds

Quote:
Originally Posted by steve5k
Just 2 more questions. What do you think an 'ideal' tM should look like for a tourney like this (if it matters, 14 players); and what is the formula for calculating a tM for any given level?
i don't personally use tM in my calculations; i think JMC mentioned it in his blinds structure article, check it out.

for a tourney w/o antes i usually estimate that the tournament will end when the bb is 4% of the total chips in play +/- 1 level (that's why i included the percentages in my suggestion)

so for 14 player x 20,000 = 280,000 chips in play
4% x 280,000 = 11,200, rounding it to the closest bb that you have, 12,000

for 8 players = 160,000 chips in play
4% x 160,000 = 6400 or between 5000 & 8000 from your 8 player structure

20 players = 400,000 chips
4% = 16,000

my calculations differ for structures with antes; i calculate the average M value, assuming heads up play at each level. that is, i assume that there are only 2 players left in the tournament with equal chipstacks. i calculate each player's M at each level of the structure.

i'm taking an informal survey at homepokertourney and i have a gut feeling that tourneys are ending when the average heads up M dips below 20; lower if very tight players are remaining
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