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Originally Posted by 99%evil An easier way to look at it, it either will hit or it won't. |
um...okay.
but back to the discussion at hand. either you've thought about this in a way that no poker writer ever has, or you're just wrong. i vote for the latter.
sometimes all 9 are live, sometimes they're not. you can't know that or account for it. you can't pretend you can account for it. so what we know is how many unseen cards there are, and how many outs you have in those unseen cards.
what we didn't discuss is what your spades are. are you drawing to the nuts here? if not, then you have to discount your 9 outs after all.