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  #4 (permalink)     Top 
Old 08-17-2005, 01:56 PM
w16227's Avatar
w16227 w16227 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
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What is the game (SnG??) site and stakes? Makes a difference.

Also - any knowledge on these players? Are they aggressive/passive/manical bluffers? Play any A?

Raise 3x the BB is good. 2 callers = bad. You have ~ 360 in the pot.

The reraise on the flop was questionable. BB bets into you after calling the preflop raise - and you can ONLY beat a pure bluff. His preflop call was a sign of strength - and his bet now shows strength. It is a smallish bet - only 1/3 of the pot. If this guy has any skills at all, then he is most likely looking for a call. Probably has the flush draw with an A??? (pure guess).

OK - you are getting 4:1 for a call. Figure he is bluffing ~ 10% of the time, so you need like a 10% chance of winning to stay in. Not entirely unreasonable.

Reraise of 360 is a problem. If you think that he is bluffing - just call. You can try and take it down on the turn if he checks - and you may pick up cards to get more outs.

Pot now has 1320in it.

Turn helps you .

He bets 240 - 6.5: 1 odds (pot is 1660). You have to call now.

You have 10 guaranteed outs ( 7 spades and 3 tens) that give you the nuts. 3 more outs to a strong hand - but non nuts (FH and his potential flush). 10 outs gives you better than 4:1 on your money.

This is one of those situations where you made a poor move on the flop with the reraise- but now need to call the turn as it has become the proper move due to your hand improving.

For me - 50/50 on just calling the flop. Given the exact situation you have, call the turn and hope your hand hits as you have a lot invested now.
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