| Ok... that really sucked... but... if you replay the hand from his point of view, he probably puts you and mp on a big ace, or maybe pockets -- maybe AA, who knows... it's a decent pot when it comes to him so, for whatever reason, he decides to see a flop w/ his suited connectors - maybe he'll catch lucky and if it misses he can dump it... sure it's a bad call, but "whatever... let's gamble", he says. (I think that this first call is his only real mistake in this hand.) Flop comes and he catches a 4 flush and inside straight draw, that's a lot of outs (13) as long as his read is right - maybe you've tripped your As or 8s, or caught two or top pair, whatever, as long as you're not holding hearts he's got a pretty good draw going (Since the Ah is out your raises make it pretty likely that you've already made your hand and aren't drawing the flush, if you're holding AK, AQ, etc he's in great shape if he can catch as you probably wouldn't be capping at this point w/ something like KQh or smaller)... there are a lot of chips in the pot now so he lets you and MP drive and he calls it down... J hits, you bet, MP folds, now he's heads up w/ roughly a 26% chance of catching here for 1 more bet and there's a lot of money in that pot...call. Duece hits (ouch), he catches lucky w/ the nut straight and drags the pot.
Was his play really that poor? Anyway... that's why limit sucks... you'd love to get a big bet in there after that flop and fold off crap like 45s.
Out of curiousity... would you bet and then call that river if a 3rd heart hit instead? |